Plastic and Plumbing

In the film, The Graduate, the advice for the future was “plastic.” In Disney’s Hercules, it was “indoor plumbing.” Both were close.

The future was, and still is, in glass pipes; also known as fiber. Bandwidth will separate the haves and the have-nots in the near future. How much bandwidth do you have? How much will you need? Scott McNealy once said, in response to the iPod’s tremendous success, that it’s a product that will be obsolete in the near future (http://www.theregister.co.uk/2006/01/12/sun_apple_snapple/).

Scott’s view is that everything migrates back to the server eventually, of which the web is an example. If you’re like many people I’ve spoken with, you install less and less software on your computer, and instead use Ajax applications (http://www.ddj.com/architect/184406430) via a browser. Over 10 years ago I bought Encarta and installed it on a Windows machine. Today, I wouldn’t dream of doing that; I’ll just navigate over to wikipedia.org or Google. In fact, Google has so much of the web cached on their own servers, we can all turn off our web servers and just have everyone point their browsers at Google. But I digress.

The point Scott McNealy was making is that, eventually, everyone will store their music on a server (somewhere) and access it from wherever they are. Going for a drive? No need to remember to tote your iPod with you and plug it into an FM transmitter (http://www.griffintechnology.com/category/fmtransmitters). Walking around town? Exercising? Just use your cell phone and access your music that way. This assumes you’ll have the bandwidth needed in your car, your cell-phone network, at home, and in the office. Perhaps all remote (outside the office and home) bandwidth solutions will be provided by cell phones – the future will tell.

Storage

The storage market is headed that way also. There’s the obvious web-based backup method, but there’s also a way to access your home or business-based storage no matter where you are. It’s called MioNet (http://www.mionet.com/), and it’s available from Western Digital as part of their My Book World Edition product (http://www.westerndigital.com/en/products/Products.asp?DriveID=347). It’s also based on Java – just scroll down the page and you’ll see the requisite Java logo. They also demonstrated MioNet at JavaOne this past year.

Thanks to the Java-based MioNet, your local storage can be securely accessed from wherever you are (so long as you have bandwidth). On the road and forgot that critical file? Just get it from your office-based storage devices via the closest Starbucks WIFI. It’s all made possible by the power of Java and java, if you will.

TV

IPTV (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IPTV) shows that even television programming is moving away from being controlled by big networks, and instead is going to be controlled by you, the viewer, on demand. No longer will we be slaves to a network’s programming schedule; simply navigate over to a web site (a bunch of servers, really) and pull up the content you wish to view, on-demand, according to your own schedule. Even TiVo (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TiVo), another client-side technology, could become obsolete in this case as you will no longer need to remember to record something because you can watch it whenever you want via the web. That is, unless, they migrate their entire business model to the server (http://www.tvpredictions.com/tivocomcast053107.htm).

That’s all very cool, and very much in line with McNealy’s predications. And Java is alive and well, enabling this continued migration. Now if only I can persuade the NY Yankees to play only when it’s convenient for me to watch…

Happy coding!
-EJB

Posted by Eric Bruno at 11:18 PM  Permalink